"One look ahead is better than two behind." Author Unknown I was a history major in college, so I do like looking back. Personally I believe history does repeat itself and the "wheel of time" is turning faster than ever. The rise and fall of nations is now only taking generations, not centuries.
Having said that, I think the job of the emergency manager is to anticipate the future. While there is something to learn from the past and from experience, we are much more able to be predictive of what will happen in the future. Knowing what we know nowâ"how should it change our personal and professional behaviors. Do we remain quiet, or do we call out for change, when change is needed.
I'll be a bit predictive here-not all from my thinking, just what I read and see:
-Technology is going to encompass every aspect of our lives.
-Social media is the next big thing in "everything" about living
-Hazards will increase
-Disasters will get bigger with mega disasters in dollars and social impact possible
-We will be running out of resources like water that will cause unrest and changes in demographic trends.
-The move to the coasts by Americans will continue unabated, no matter what the disaster history is for the region
-Insurance companies will default/go out of business, just like AIG almost did and many investment banks did in the current recession
-Congress will be unable to make the necessary changes to provide for a stronger mitigation program since it will impact development in congressmen's districts
-Catastrophic impacts will be necessary before there is any possibility of changing our political will power to do something before there is a catastrophe.
-Emergency management will become increasingly important as disasters become more frequent and impactful. Full time positions will increase and there will be a shortage of trained professionals
-There will be another terrorist attack on the USA. Transportation, bus bombings, even suicide attacks will eventually come to our nation.
-Failed nation states may lead us to be attacked with WMD.
-Home grown terrorists may be our biggest terrorist threat
-If there is another civilian government disaster response "melt down" like in Katrina, the active duty military will be given a bigger role than what they have now.
-Othersâ¦.?
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Having said that, I think the job of the emergency manager is to anticipate the future. While there is something to learn from the past and from experience, we are much more able to be predictive of what will happen in the future. Knowing what we know nowâ"how should it change our personal and professional behaviors. Do we remain quiet, or do we call out for change, when change is needed.
I'll be a bit predictive here-not all from my thinking, just what I read and see:
-Technology is going to encompass every aspect of our lives.
-Social media is the next big thing in "everything" about living
-Hazards will increase
-Disasters will get bigger with mega disasters in dollars and social impact possible
-We will be running out of resources like water that will cause unrest and changes in demographic trends.
-The move to the coasts by Americans will continue unabated, no matter what the disaster history is for the region
-Insurance companies will default/go out of business, just like AIG almost did and many investment banks did in the current recession
-Congress will be unable to make the necessary changes to provide for a stronger mitigation program since it will impact development in congressmen's districts
-Catastrophic impacts will be necessary before there is any possibility of changing our political will power to do something before there is a catastrophe.
-Emergency management will become increasingly important as disasters become more frequent and impactful. Full time positions will increase and there will be a shortage of trained professionals
-There will be another terrorist attack on the USA. Transportation, bus bombings, even suicide attacks will eventually come to our nation.
-Failed nation states may lead us to be attacked with WMD.
-Home grown terrorists may be our biggest terrorist threat
-If there is another civilian government disaster response "melt down" like in Katrina, the active duty military will be given a bigger role than what they have now.
-Othersâ¦.?
