Emergency Management Blogs

Emergency Management Blog - Eric Holdeman: Disaster Zone
Disaster Zone

by Eric Holdeman: Emergency management in the blogosphere

Subscribe via RSS | About this Blog | Contact Eric Holdeman | Ericpedia

Catastrophes Are Predictable
October 14, 2012
Bookmark and Share

Everyone seems surprised when some calamitous event occurs.  They are labeled Black Swan events because they seem to come out of nowhere.  "How could that have happened," is the thinking that seems to pervade our thoughts as a whole.

 

Rather than being surprised, Ted G. Lewis points out in his book Bak's Sand Pile: Strategies for a Catastrophic World that these Black Swan events are really predictable and getting worse as we live in a more connected and interdependent world.  

 

I've not read the entire text only four chapters.  The first few are heavy on theory, but not too heavy.  I could understand the points being made and the references to the history of research on the topics relevant to the discussion.  To scare the pants off of you check out the chapter on the electrical grid in the United States, see Living At The Edge of Chaos (Page 161).  Combine this with my blog posting from yesterday that has the threat of cyberterrorism and you can see how our fragility and lack of redundancy has put us as a modern society in a perilous position. 

 

Another happy topic to think about on a Sunday morning! 

 

Top

Comments


Add Your Comment

You are solely responsible for the content of your comments. We reserve the right to remove comments that are considered profane, vulgar, obscene, factually inaccurate, off-topic or a personal attack. Comments are limited to 2,000 characters.





Latest Emergency Management News

Moulage
Moulage Provides Realism for ShakeOut Disaster Drill

The morbid makeup ensures that emergency responders have realistic-looking victims for disaster preparation drills.
Police officer working on a laptop
FirstNet Explained

FirstNet, the proposed nationwide broadband public safety network, is big, expensive and complicated. Here are a few basic things you need to know.
FirstNet Testbeds (Interactive Map)

FirstNet began negotiations with eight testbed jurisdictions, and the projects that did reach agreements should help shape the FirstNet network.

Latest Blog Posts RSS

Emergency Management Blog - Eric Holdeman: Disaster Zone Water Disaster: FEMA Reimbursement
Apr 20 Take note that there are eligible costs that can be reimbursed.…
Emergency Management Blog - Eric Holdeman: Disaster Zone How Politics Buries Science
Apr 20 This example is for landslides, but the damage goes much further.…
Alerting Failure Draws Fire in Portland
Apr 17 The City says a failed alert this week was the fault of the alerting vendor. The vendor says it was the city's fault.…

4 Ways to Get EM

Subscribe to Emergency Management MagazineFollow Emergency Management on TwitterSubscribe to Emergency Management HeadlinesSubscribe to Emergency Management Newsletters

Featured Papers

Blog Archives